From the Daily Herald
Ryan trial could cast cloud over GOP governor candidate
By Eric Krol Daily Herald Political Writer Sun Oct 16,
Republicans lost the 2002 statewide election in part due to then-Gov. George Ryan's
corruption scandal.
Little did the Illinois GOP suspect that, four years later, Ryan's federal corruption
trial would again threaten their prospects.
Attorneys warn the trial will last at least four months, which would mean early
February. Considering the light holiday work schedule in December, the trial's
slow pace thus far and perhaps a week or more for jurors to sort through 22 combined
charges for Ryan and his co-defendant Larry Warner, it's quite possible Ryan's
fate could be decided the same month voters head to the polls for the March primary.
And the inevitable barrage of headlines, especially if Ryan is found guilty, could
leave the Republican nominee politically wounded, as if Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich's
likely fund-raising advantage won't potentially be a big enough obstacle on its
own.
"It's not good news for the Republicans if people are still remembering the
bad old Ryan days as they head to the polls," said Kent Redfield, a political
science professor at the University of Illinois at Springfield. "It could
impact who wins the primary and who wins the general (election)."
Whether the trial wraps up sooner or later, the shadow it casts will be felt by
the GOP governor field in several ways.
The high drama of closing arguments and Ryan potentially taking the stand in his
own defense during the heart of the primary campaign will hurt candidates' ability
to get attention from a media and public that will be focused on the trial.
"Certainly it has the potential to confuse voters through media coverage,"
said Republican campaign strategist John McGovern. "The challenge for the
primary candidates will be to articulate a compelling message that can cut through
the clutter and establish him or her as a strong and viable candidate."
But the trial also means that stopping corruption in state government will be
the dominant issue in the primary. The candidates will have to explain to the
party's faithful exactly why they're the best candidate to end pay-to-play politics.
Chicago millionaire Ron Gidwitz put out a five-point plan in July that would ban
campaign donors from getting any state contracts and put in place campaign contribution
limits.
Aurora businessman Jim Oberweis said he simply wouldn't take campaign donations
from those with state contracts if elected governor. This, he argues, would end
"the cycle of cash" from companies to politicians back to companies
in the form of taxpayer-funded contracts.
Bloomington state Sen. Bill Brady is calling for laws to end no-bid state contracts
for campaign donors and to competitively bid state bond sales. DuPage County State's
Attorney Joe Birkett, who's apparently still weighing a governor run at this late
date, also has called for bond sales to be bid to avoid insider profiteering.
Elgin state Sen. Steve Rauschenberger argues the easiest solution is to elect
an honest candidate to be governor.
"All the ethics laws and ethics training in the world will not stop someone
who has malice in their heart," he said last month.
But railing against the political insiders also carries a risk factor: Those same
folks tend to be the ones who can help the most with campaign fundraising. Attacking
money men like Springfield's Robert Kjellander, the treasurer of the Republican
National Committee who has made millions from state bond deals, could come at
a price.
Illinois Republican Chairman Andy McKenna has his hands full trying to keep the
peace. "I think a measure of their character is how they lead. People with
strong character raise themselves up," he said. "They don't tear other
people down. We want a nominee who can raise themselves up."
Republican governor candidates who make corruption a top issue also will have
to be mindful of their own ties to Ryan and former House Speaker Lee Daniels of
Elmhurst, who's long been under federal investigation for allegations that staff
members did campaign work on state time. Opponents could cry hypocrisy if the
would-be reformers once embraced those under investigation or on trial.
Then again, there's also the possibility the corruption issue might not only cut
against Republicans next year.
Federal authorities are looking into Democrat Blagojevich's campaign finances
and there are a few other ongoing state and federal probes as well. All of the
announced and potential Republican governor candidates, including Treasurer Judy
Baar Topinka, have strongly ripped Blagojevich for what they say is a failure
to live up to his promise to end business as usual.
That leaves next year's race volatile, Redfield said. "The last thing you
want to do is say the election is about corruption and then have people think
you're corrupt," he said.
Many Republicans privately were hoping Ryan would strike a plea bargain to avoid
a lengthy trial and further embarrassment of the political party he served for
so many years.
With that hope now dashed as the trial plays out in a federal courtroom, the GOP's
best hope may be that enough political corruption swirls around both parties to
make the issue a wash with voters.
Trial: Federal authorities looking into Blagojevich too ~
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